Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | GB +105 OAK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +9 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | GB -5.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -3.3 (+5.7) | 154.1 (+10.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -3.1 (+5.9) | 155.1 (+9.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -3.3 (+5.7) | 155.3 (+9.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -3.3 (+5.7) | 154.1 (+10.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#270) | -8.9 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#270) | -0.96 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#239) | -0.81 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#247) | 0.500 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.