Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | FLA -190 UK +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -11.9 (-29.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -10.6 (-28.6) | 142.1 (-8.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -8.5 (-26.5) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -9.3 (-27.3) | 144.4 (-10.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -10.1 (-28.1) | 143.3 (-9.3) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | FLA 71 – 63 UK |
| Mar 7, 2026 | FLA 84 – 77 UK |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FLA 92 – 83 UK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UK 106 – 100 FLA |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FLA 94 – 91 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#28) | 4.0 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#47) | -0.06 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#55) | 0.70 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#19) | 0.512 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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