Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Under |
| Money | MCN -130 NWST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -4.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -0.5 (-2.5) | 151.4 (+1.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -1.1 (-1.9) | 152.6 (+0.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -2.7 (-0.3) | 156.5 (-3.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.7 (-2.3) | 153.4 (-0.4) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | MCN 75 – 64 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2025 | MCN 92 – 54 NWST |
| Mar 11, 2025 | MCN 83 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MCN 65 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2025 | MCN 92 – 69 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-14 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -18.2 (#340) | -11.1 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#335) | -4.64 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.54 (#337) | -6.96 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.294 (#340) | 0.381 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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