Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | CMU +220 BGSU -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +28 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -7.1 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -6.4 (-21.6) | 155.3 (+2.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -5.9 (-22.1) | 154.7 (+3.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -7.2 (-20.8) | 156.9 (+1.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -6.7 (-21.3) | 155.4 (+2.6) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-16 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#223) | 7.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#260) | 1.70 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#273) | 1.61 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#264) | 0.580 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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