Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +23 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -3.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -0.8 (-22.2) | 144.5 (-1.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -0.6 (-22.4) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LAF 81 – 79 BUCK |
| Jan 15, 2026 | BUCK 76 – 69 LAF |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BUCK 75 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 9, 2025 | BUCK 65 – 62 LAF |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BUCK 60 – 50 LAF |
Game Analysis
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