Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | MASS -250 LAS +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -8.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -6.0 (+10.0) | 153.2 (-3.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.8 (+10.2) | 145.7 (+4.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -5.6 (+10.4) | 149.5 (+0.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -6.4 (+9.6) | 154.3 (-4.3) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-7 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 6-11 |
| Home | 4-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#95) | 0.3 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#168) | 0.22 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#103) | 0.30 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#161) | 0.516 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.7% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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