Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +11 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -9.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -8.0 (+3.0) | 139.0 (-18.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -7.6 (+3.4) | 134.0 (-13.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -8.5 (+2.5) | 138.2 (-17.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -7.4 (+3.6) | 137.5 (-16.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | RID 67 – 62 NIA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | RID 77 – 76 NIA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | RID 68 – 65 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RID 71 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NIA 78 – 74 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-11 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-3 | 1-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#199) | -8.4 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#208) | -1.48 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#195) | -2.01 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#206) | 0.419 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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