We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Quinnipiac Bobcats
42 – 45
FINAL Conference
Manhattan Jaspers
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money QUIN -140 / MAN +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual MAN +3 87 Lost
Massey QUIN -10.7 (-13.7) — —
Massey Totals — 137.8 (-50.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -8.7 (-11.7) 138.2 (-51.2) 82% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -7.1 (-10.1) 136.1 (-49.1) 74% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -8.1 (-11.1) 137.3 (-50.3) 78% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -8.3 (-11.3) 137.0 (-50.0) 79% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 19, 2026 QUIN 98 – 92 MAN
Jan 3, 2026 MAN 80 – 79 QUIN
Feb 23, 2025 QUIN 74 – 71 MAN
Feb 3, 2024 QUIN 77 – 71 MAN
Jan 7, 2024 QUIN 76 – 59 MAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN MAN
Overall 9-13 7-13
Conference 7-10 6-12
Home 8-5 4-6
Away 1-5 3-6
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 67.5 63.4
Avg Pts Against 69.0 67.2
Massey -5.3 (#249) -12.8 (#328)
Bradley-Terry -0.17 (#183) -1.98 (#305)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.44 (#193) -2.89 (#306)
RPI 0.466 (#215) 0.357 (#319)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN MAN
FG% 42.4% 37.4%
3PT% 29.6% 25.0%
REB / G 36.4 36.5
OREB / G 8.0 13.5
AST / TO 0.85 0.67
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 42.6%
TOV% 22.5% 22.3%
ORB% 23.1% 33.9%
FT Rate 27.2% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.6% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 22.9%
DRB% 68.3% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 31.1%

Game Analysis

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