Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
| Money | BTLR -110 CONN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CONN -10.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -6.5 (-5.5) | 130.3 (+1.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -7.4 (-4.6) | 128.9 (+3.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -5.8 (-6.2) | 130.9 (+1.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -6.3 (-5.7) | 130.6 (+1.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | CONN 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Dec 17, 2025 | CONN 79 – 60 BTLR |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CONN 80 – 78 BTLR |
| Dec 21, 2024 | CONN 78 – 74 BTLR |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CONN 71 – 62 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-6 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#160) | 13.8 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#146) | 2.76 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#117) | 4.27 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#191) | 0.633 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 42.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.