Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | FAIR +370 SIE -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +16 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -12.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -9.2 (-6.8) | 131.8 (+0.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -10.1 (-5.9) | 134.9 (-2.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.6 (-6.4) | 136.9 (-4.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -8.1 (-7.9) | 132.7 (-0.7) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAIR 72 – 58 SIE |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SIE 85 – 77 FAIR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SIE 68 – 64 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-4 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#316) | 4.3 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#310) | 1.87 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#284) | 2.82 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.359 (#317) | 0.705 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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