Betting Lines
| Spread | ARK -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.0 Over |
| Money | ARK -430 UGA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +30 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | ARK -10.3 (+19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARK -9.5 (+20.5) | 160.0 (+8.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARK -8.4 (+21.6) | 155.8 (+12.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARK -10.5 (+19.5) | 159.7 (+8.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARK -9.4 (+20.6) | 159.5 (+8.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | UGA 90 – 76 ARK |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ARK 68 – 65 UGA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ARK 78 – 75 UGA |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UGA 76 – 66 ARK |
| Feb 22, 2023 | ARK 97 – 65 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-7 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#11) | 9.2 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#46) | 1.01 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#44) | 1.70 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#104) | 0.536 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARK | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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