Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -7.0 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money LAM -300 / HCU +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual LAM +6 136 Won
Massey LAM -2.8 (+3.2) — —
Massey Totals — 151.4 (-15.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -3.3 (+2.7) 146.2 (-10.2) 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LAM -2.8 (+3.2) 148.2 (-12.2) 63% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LAM -3.8 (+2.2) 148.8 (-12.8) 67% ✓
Baseline ML LAM -2.9 (+3.1) 146.9 (-10.9) 61% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2026 HCU 75 – 53 LAM
Jan 13, 2026 LAM 64 – 56 HCU
Feb 22, 2025 LAM 66 – 58 HCU
Jan 5, 2025 LAM 63 – 61 HCU
Mar 7, 2024 LAM 78 – 68 HCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM HCU
Overall 10-18 6-19
Conference 6-10 4-11
Home 5-5 4-6
Away 3-11 1-12
Neutral 2-2 1-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.8 70.1
Avg Pts Against 72.4 81.1
Massey -12.5 (#323) -12.2 (#321)
Bradley-Terry -2.12 (#312) -2.75 (#328)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.04 (#311) -4.46 (#331)
RPI 0.394 (#297) 0.398 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM HCU
FG% 38.0% 40.8%
3PT% 25.1% 37.0%
REB / G 35.1 33.7
OREB / G 9.0 8.4
AST / TO 0.72 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 41.6% 48.3%
TOV% 20.1% 22.8%
ORB% 23.6% 22.8%
FT Rate 24.6% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 15.2%
DRB% 70.2% 67.2%
Opp FT Rate 17.9% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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