Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -240 USA +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +14 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -6.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -7.2 (+6.8) | 147.5 (+4.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -6.6 (+7.4) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -7.3 (+6.7) | 147.5 (+4.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -7.5 (+6.5) | 149.1 (+2.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | USA 53 – 48 CCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | USA 84 – 59 CCU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CCU 85 – 81 USA |
| Mar 29, 2022 | CCU 69 – 68 USA |
| Feb 18, 2022 | USA 71 – 68 CCU |
Game Analysis
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