I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Hart Center Arena · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ARMY -6.0 Away covered
O/U 143.0 Over
Money HC +210 / ARMY -260
Model Predictions
Spread Total HC win
Actual ARMY +15 151 Lost
Massey ARMY -1.5 (-13.5) — —
Massey Totals — 138.9 (+12.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 32% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✓
Baseline ML HC -0.6 (-15.6) 141.9 (+9.1) 52% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML HC -1.1 (-16.1) 140.9 (+10.1) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 ARMY 69 – 68 HC
Jan 14, 2026 HC 82 – 75 ARMY
Feb 5, 2025 ARMY 68 – 65 HC
Jan 22, 2025 ARMY 76 – 71 HC
Mar 5, 2024 HC 84 – 68 ARMY

Game Analysis

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