Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | CAL -140 WASH +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | CAL -4.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -4.6 (+1.4) | 134.8 (+27.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -4.1 (+1.9) | 134.1 (+27.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -5.0 (+1.0) | 136.0 (+26.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -4.6 (+1.4) | 135.2 (+26.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAL 82 – 80 WASH |
| Jan 19, 2024 | WASH 77 – 75 CAL |
| Feb 24, 2023 | WASH 65 – 56 CAL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | WASH 81 – 78 CAL |
| Feb 4, 2022 | WASH 84 – 63 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-8 | 4-7 |
| Away | 1-11 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#198) | -3.6 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#217) | -1.78 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#217) | -1.84 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#218) | 0.448 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 61.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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