Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
| Money | DUQ -1200 FOR +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +3 | 93 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -20.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -13.1 (-10.1) | 129.0 (-36.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -13.5 (-10.5) | 121.9 (-28.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -14.9 (-11.9) | 123.1 (-30.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -14.9 (-11.9) | 128.3 (-35.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 64 FOR |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FOR 65 – 63 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUQ 68 – 59 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 2-12 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 2-11 |
| Home | 5-1 | 2-5 |
| Away | 2-5 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 51.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#158) | -16.9 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#235) | -1.32 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#206) | -3.83 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#179) | 0.401 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 34.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 38.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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