Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | VCU -260 URI +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +15 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -9.2 (-24.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -9.3 (-24.3) | 139.1 (+11.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -6.6 (-21.6) | 139.5 (+11.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -8.5 (-23.5) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -8.3 (-23.3) | 139.9 (+11.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | VCU 84 – 75 URI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VCU 81 – 57 URI |
| Feb 28, 2024 | VCU 88 – 67 URI |
| Feb 16, 2023 | VCU 55 – 54 URI |
| Feb 9, 2022 | VCU 73 – 64 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#33) | 6.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#34) | 0.79 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#40) | 1.53 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#41) | 0.529 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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