Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | EMU +220 AKR -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -17.7 (+29.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -12.5 (+24.5) | 147.2 (-17.2) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -9.4 (+21.4) | 144.9 (-14.9) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -11.3 (+23.3) | 148.2 (-18.2) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -12.4 (+24.4) | 149.7 (-19.7) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-4 | 9-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#329) | 7.8 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#330) | 1.09 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.62 (#333) | 1.76 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#289) | 0.574 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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