Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -0.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.0 (-9.0) | 149.2 (-19.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.7 (-9.7) | 148.1 (-18.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
Game Analysis
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