Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +220 UTC -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +5 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -2.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (+19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -1.2 (+6.2) | 152.8 (+26.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -1.0 (+6.0) | 154.2 (+24.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -1.2 (+6.2) | 155.6 (+23.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -1.3 (+6.3) | 154.0 (+25.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 18-8 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 1-8 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#209) | 3.0 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#87) | 1.00 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#105) | 1.12 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#106) | 0.533 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 13.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.