Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NE +115 HOF -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | NE -3.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -2.2 (+8.8) | 136.3 (-13.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -0.9 (+10.1) | 136.8 (-13.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -1.3 (+9.7) | 140.1 (-17.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.1 (+8.9) | 137.8 (-14.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HOF 82 – 68 NE |
| Feb 6, 2026 | HOF 80 – 63 NE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NE 77 – 68 HOF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | HOF 55 – 37 NE |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HOF 82 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-1 | 7-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#131) | 1.5 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#132) | 0.76 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#121) | 1.11 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#68) | 0.552 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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