Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Horizon League · UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MILW -7.0 Home covered
O/U 146.0 Under
Money MILW -320 / IUIN +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total MILW win
Actual MILW +8 134 Won
Massey MILW -16.3 (-8.3) — —
Massey Totals — 138.1 (-4.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MILW -11.3 (-3.3) 138.0 (-4.0) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MILW -12.7 (-4.7) 139.5 (-5.5) 85% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MILW -12.5 (-4.5) 138.6 (-4.6) 85% ✓
Baseline ML MILW -12.1 (-4.1) 136.9 (-2.9) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2026 MILW 92 – 88 IUIN
Jan 11, 2026 MILW 95 – 83 IUIN
Feb 5, 2025 MILW 84 – 80 IUIN
Dec 29, 2024 MILW 88 – 81 IUIN
Feb 29, 2024 MILW 75 – 70 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MILW IUIN
Overall 10-12 8-10
Conference 7-10 7-9
Home 4-5 3-5
Away 6-6 4-5
Neutral 0-1 1-0
Last 5 4-1 1-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.5 71.2
Avg Pts Against 76.3 75.8
Massey 3.3 (#114) -9.9 (#306)
Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#176) -1.52 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.29 (#159) -2.25 (#282)
RPI 0.469 (#207) 0.387 (#306)
Shooting & Four Factors MILW IUIN
FG% 43.9% 39.2%
3PT% 36.0% 26.1%
REB / G 36.2 34.0
OREB / G 8.5 9.5
AST / TO 1.16 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 44.4%
TOV% 16.3% 23.3%
ORB% 24.9% 24.4%
FT Rate 30.0% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 23.5%
DRB% 75.8% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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