Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | ISU +320 TTU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +27 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -9.7 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -8.2 (-18.8) | 133.3 (+21.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -8.7 (-18.3) | 134.9 (+20.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -8.4 (-18.6) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -8.7 (-18.3) | 134.9 (+20.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ISU 75 – 53 TTU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | TTU 82 – 73 ISU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ISU 85 – 84 TTU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ISU 82 – 74 TTU |
| Jan 31, 2023 | TTU 80 – 77 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-22 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 9-8 |
| Home | 2-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L18 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#145) | 14.0 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#251) | 2.15 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#272) | 3.15 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#195) | 0.547 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 26.9% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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