Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | HOU -3500 TULN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +21 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -21.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -16.8 (+4.2) | 129.0 (-8.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -15.8 (+5.2) | 127.4 (-6.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -17.0 (+4.0) | 129.8 (-8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -18.2 (+2.8) | 127.4 (-6.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | HOU 89 – 59 TULN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | HOU 80 – 60 TULN |
| Mar 12, 2022 | HOU 86 – 66 TULN |
| Feb 24, 2022 | HOU 81 – 67 TULN |
| Feb 3, 2022 | HOU 73 – 62 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 4-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 6-6 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#8) | -1.7 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#7) | 0.74 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.63 (#4) | 0.86 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.679 (#5) | 0.499 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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