Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
| Money | CREI -800 SJU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +18 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -15.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -14.2 (+3.8) | 158.9 (+17.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -12.7 (+5.3) | 157.9 (+18.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -15.8 (+2.2) | 158.9 (+17.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -14.2 (+3.8) | 157.1 (+18.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 16.4 (#10) | 3.9 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#15) | 0.84 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.16 (#18) | 1.30 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#25) | 0.528 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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