Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -13.0 Push |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -1100 CP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +13 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -19.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -14.5 (-1.5) | 135.5 (-24.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -14.3 (-1.3) | 131.4 (-20.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -14.8 (-1.8) | 137.7 (-26.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -16.0 (-3.0) | 135.7 (-24.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 4-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 1-15 |
| Home | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 59.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#164) | -15.5 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#156) | -2.45 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#133) | -3.97 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#157) | 0.344 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 44.4% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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