Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
| Money | DAV -280 DAY +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +11 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -10.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+36.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -8.3 (-19.3) | 132.4 (+34.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -7.8 (-18.8) | 125.9 (+41.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -10.6 (-21.6) | 131.7 (+35.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -9.0 (-20.0) | 134.0 (+33.0) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | DAY 70 – 59 DAV |
| Feb 5, 2025 | DAY 69 – 63 DAV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | DAY 80 – 66 DAV |
| Jan 4, 2024 | DAY 72 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 18, 2023 | DAY 68 – 61 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 7-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#75) | 0.3 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#118) | 0.34 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#98) | 1.14 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.514 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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