Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -360 OMA +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -12.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -9.7 (-7.7) | 134.0 (+6.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -9.0 (-7.0) | 133.7 (+6.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -10.0 (-8.0) | 136.3 (+3.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -10.4 (-8.4) | 134.9 (+5.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-2 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#146) | -8.4 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#214) | -1.35 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#221) | -2.14 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#162) | 0.452 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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