You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Summit League · Mabee Center · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money ORU -500 / UND +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORU win
Actual UND +1 143 Lost
Massey ORU -13.5 (-14.5) — —
Massey Totals — 148.1 (-5.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -10.4 (-11.4) 146.4 (-3.4) 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -9.4 (-10.4) 142.9 (+0.1) 78% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ORU -9.5 (-10.5) 144.7 (-1.7) 81% ✗
Baseline ML ORU -10.4 (-11.4) 146.6 (-3.6) 82% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 UND 79 – 62 ORU
Jan 1, 2026 UND 72 – 61 ORU
Feb 15, 2025 UND 88 – 77 ORU
Jan 12, 2025 ORU 83 – 79 UND
Feb 18, 2024 UND 78 – 65 ORU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORU UND
Overall 18-11 9-17
Conference 10-5 8-8
Home 8-3 5-3
Away 5-7 3-11
Neutral 5-1 1-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.9 68.7
Avg Pts Against 77.2 75.7
Massey 2.9 (#116) -7.4 (#284)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#133) -2.14 (#314)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#135) -2.80 (#304)
RPI 0.560 (#83) 0.399 (#288)
Shooting & Four Factors ORU UND
FG% 42.0% 40.5%
3PT% 36.2% 28.1%
REB / G 35.0 31.6
OREB / G 10.3 8.7
AST / TO 1.00 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 46.2%
TOV% 17.1% 22.0%
ORB% 26.2% 25.1%
FT Rate 18.6% 23.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 18.2%
DRB% 62.9% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.4% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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