Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | CSUF -115 LBSU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +2 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -11.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -8.9 (-10.9) | 152.9 (+9.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -6.9 (-8.9) | 153.8 (+8.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -7.7 (-9.7) | 152.0 (+10.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -8.2 (-10.2) | 150.4 (+11.6) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-10 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 5-7 | 4-8 |
| Home | 5-4 | 4-3 |
| Away | 1-5 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#236) | -12.8 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#282) | -0.34 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#296) | -1.07 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.300 (#338) | 0.449 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 43.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 27.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 16.9% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 59.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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