Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
E.A. Diddle Arena · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 143.0 Under
Money WKU -330 / LT +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +2 130 Won
Massey WKU -4.7 (-2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 148.2 (-18.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -6.5 (-4.5) 145.4 (-15.4) 74% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -5.5 (-3.5) 143.3 (-13.3) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WKU -6.0 (-4.0) 148.4 (-18.4) 74% ✓
Baseline ML WKU -5.7 (-3.7) 144.8 (-14.8) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 WKU 66 – 61 LT
Feb 23, 2025 WKU 64 – 63 LT
Jan 24, 2025 LT 77 – 67 WKU
Feb 29, 2024 LT 90 – 84 WKU
Feb 8, 2024 WKU 81 – 76 LT

Game Analysis

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