Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | KC +105 SDAK -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -1.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -1.2 (-0.8) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -0.0 (-2.0) | 126.6 (+3.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -1.4 (-0.6) | 132.1 (-2.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -0.7 (-1.3) | 132.6 (-2.6) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 75 KC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SDAK 99 – 83 KC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDAK 79 – 72 KC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | KC 68 – 54 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | KC 82 – 78 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-13 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-4 |
| Home | 8-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#188) | 0.8 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#316) | -1.57 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#297) | -1.51 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#241) | 0.410 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 47.2% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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