Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -2800 AF +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -25.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -20.2 (-9.2) | 136.4 (+12.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -18.4 (-7.4) | 133.1 (+15.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -20.5 (-9.5) | 136.3 (+12.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -20.9 (-9.9) | 135.7 (+13.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-9 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 58.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#24) | -8.7 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#12) | -0.40 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.53 (#12) | -1.41 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#30) | 0.496 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 24.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 14.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.