Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | MTSU +125 FIU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +13 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -4.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -2.8 (-10.2) | 143.8 (-20.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -2.6 (-10.4) | 143.5 (-20.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -3.1 (-9.9) | 144.0 (-21.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -2.8 (-10.2) | 141.1 (-18.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MTSU 73 – 67 FIU |
| Feb 5, 2026 | FIU 88 – 84 MTSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MTSU 78 – 56 FIU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MTSU 73 – 69 FIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTSU 68 – 66 FIU |
Game Analysis
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