Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +210 UTA -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +13 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -5.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -2.0 (-11.0) | 138.4 (+2.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -2.3 (-10.7) | 139.8 (+1.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.6 (-11.4) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -2.1 (-10.9) | 139.3 (+1.7) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | UTA 77 – 68 ULM |
| Dec 3, 2024 | UTA 84 – 70 ULM |
| Feb 11, 2022 | ULM 74 – 71 UTA |
| Jan 15, 2022 | ULM 62 – 55 UTA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTA 58 – 52 ULM |
Game Analysis
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