Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BELL -124 LIP +106 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -4.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -2.6 (-7.6) | 141.6 (+7.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -2.4 (-7.4) | 136.1 (+12.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -1.8 (-6.8) | 139.8 (+9.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -1.5 (-6.5) | 143.1 (+5.9) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | LIP 75 – 72 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LIP 81 – 71 BELL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LIP 87 – 80 BELL |
| Jan 16, 2025 | LIP 87 – 53 BELL |
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIP 90 – 74 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-8 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Home | 6-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#238) | -5.4 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#249) | -0.89 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#249) | -0.94 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#257) | 0.452 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 44.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 27.8 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 5.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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