Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
North Alabama Lions
77 – 86
FINAL Conference
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · Flowers Hall · January 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UNA -3.0 Away covered
O/U 140.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual STET +9 163 Lost
Massey UNA -1.3 (-10.3) — —
Massey Totals — 137.0 (+26.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 43% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 36% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNA -0.9 (-9.9) 137.7 (+25.3) 55% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNA -1.0 (-10.0) 143.1 (+19.9) 45% ✓
Baseline Plus ML STET -1.4 (-7.6) 142.7 (+20.3) 39% ✓
Baseline ML STET -1.1 (-7.9) 143.7 (+19.3) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 UNA 68 – 66 STET
Jan 1, 2026 STET 70 – 67 UNA
Jan 11, 2025 UNA 92 – 64 STET
Feb 2, 2024 UNA 79 – 72 STET
Feb 3, 2023 STET 79 – 57 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA STET
Overall 13-11 12-15
Conference 7-8 7-9
Home 8-4 7-5
Away 3-6 3-8
Neutral 2-1 2-2
Last 5 0-2 1-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 69.1
Avg Pts Against 72.2 71.9
Massey -12.3 (#322) -10.5 (#309)
Bradley-Terry -1.68 (#284) -0.82 (#234)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.44 (#292) -1.25 (#235)
RPI 0.366 (#314) 0.402 (#281)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA STET
FG% 35.6% 38.1%
3PT% 18.0% 33.0%
REB / G 34.0 32.5
OREB / G 7.5 8.2
AST / TO 0.61 0.75
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 39.4% 46.3%
TOV% 19.3% 24.6%
ORB% 17.9% 22.6%
FT Rate 13.6% 19.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.8% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 14.7%
DRB% 73.6% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 28.3% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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