Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | CLE -135 NKU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +14 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -5.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -5.9 (+8.1) | 137.6 (-35.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -3.7 (+10.3) | 135.5 (-33.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.5 (+8.5) | 136.3 (-34.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -5.3 (+8.7) | 139.2 (-37.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NKU 81 – 70 CLE |
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | NKU 85 – 75 CLE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#216) | -4.7 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#112) | -0.61 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#145) | -1.04 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#51) | 0.456 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.