Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | WRST -800 YSU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -17.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -15.7 (-17.7) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -13.0 (-15.0) | 144.9 (+1.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -15.0 (-17.0) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -16.4 (-18.4) | 148.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-6 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#61) | -5.8 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#111) | -0.76 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#102) | -1.09 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#102) | 0.433 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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