Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -135 COLO +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -3.4 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.1 (+14.1) | 141.0 (+21.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -0.6 (+14.6) | 136.3 (+25.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -0.9 (+14.9) | 140.9 (+21.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -0.2 (+13.8) | 140.1 (+21.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#41) | 18.1 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#67) | 1.83 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#67) | 2.55 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#101) | 0.583 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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