Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -170 MOST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +10 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -9.9 (+19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -8.0 (+18.0) | 147.2 (+12.8) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -7.8 (+17.8) | 150.0 (+10.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -8.6 (+18.6) | 150.7 (+9.3) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -7.3 (+17.3) | 149.0 (+11.0) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 17-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#233) | 9.8 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#297) | 1.69 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.83 (#307) | 2.32 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#193) | 0.520 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 60.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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