Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -500 MD +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -8.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.7 (-12.7) | 139.7 (-5.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.6 (-10.6) | 134.3 (-0.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.0 (-11.0) | 137.9 (-3.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.8 (-11.8) | 138.5 (-4.5) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WIS 78 – 45 MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | MD 76 – 68 WIS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WIS 87 – 56 MD |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WIS 74 – 70 MD |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MD 73 – 55 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#12) | 11.3 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#31) | 1.84 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.22 (#21) | 3.03 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#39) | 0.631 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.8% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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