Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | CAM +130 UNCW -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +19 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -1.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -2.5 (-21.5) | 143.1 (-6.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.3 (-19.3) | 140.6 (-3.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.1 (-19.1) | 143.0 (-6.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -1.7 (-20.7) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCW 73 – 68 CAM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNCW 78 – 75 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 69 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-10 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 1-6 |
| Home | 9-3 | 3-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-4 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#193) | 0.8 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#143) | 1.30 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#191) | 2.16 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#120) | 0.598 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 25.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 4.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 16.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.