Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | COLO -500 WASH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +23 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -19.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (+36.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -13.6 (+9.4) | 129.6 (+31.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -14.6 (+8.4) | 133.6 (+27.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -16.2 (+6.8) | 133.4 (+27.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -15.5 (+7.5) | 130.2 (+30.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 5-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-1 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#6) | -1.0 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#70) | -1.31 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#79) | -1.16 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#66) | 0.432 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.1% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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