Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | MORE -240 SIUE +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -2.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -2.2 (-6.2) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -2.1 (-6.1) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -1.9 (-5.9) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -2.0 (-6.0) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 7-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 2-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#285) | -6.2 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#232) | -2.41 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#227) | -3.57 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#249) | 0.375 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 28.3% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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