Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -115 CMU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +15 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -1.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -1.5 (+16.5) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -1.1 (+16.1) | 140.6 (-3.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -2.1 (+17.1) | 142.0 (-5.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -1.7 (+16.7) | 140.5 (-3.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 7-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 3-13 |
| Home | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#278) | -1.2 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.81 (#321) | -0.55 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.65 (#322) | -0.82 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.207 (#321) | 0.450 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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