Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | SUU -410 UTU +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -11.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -9.1 (-2.1) | 147.7 (+15.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -10.3 (-3.3) | 148.6 (+14.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -10.0 (-3.0) | 151.1 (+11.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -9.5 (-2.5) | 148.9 (+14.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-4 | 8-13 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 4-10 |
| Home | 14-0 | 5-7 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#123) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#109) | 0.89 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#105) | 0.77 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#150) | 0.442 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 26.8% |
| DRB% | 81.6% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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