Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | SJU +250 CREI -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +18 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -2.3 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -0.5 (-17.5) | 160.4 (+9.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -0.7 (-18.7) | 156.3 (+13.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -0.2 (-18.2) | 163.6 (+6.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -1.0 (-17.0) | 163.7 (+6.3) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 10-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#117) | 9.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#119) | -0.08 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#103) | -0.07 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#139) | 0.495 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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