Betting Lines
| Spread | VAL -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -105 VAL -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +16 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -11.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -7.8 (+8.2) | 139.2 (-23.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -6.1 (+9.9) | 139.9 (-23.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | VAL 71 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | VAL 66 – 59 UIC |
| Mar 7, 2025 | VAL 67 – 50 UIC |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UIC 77 – 73 VAL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UIC 81 – 74 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#106) | 2.0 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#21) | -0.45 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#29) | -0.58 (#150) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 6.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 40.4% |
Game Analysis
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