Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | DAV -175 RICH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +2 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -3.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -2.5 (-4.5) | 134.9 (-8.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -3.3 (-5.3) | 140.3 (-14.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -2.9 (-4.9) | 138.3 (-12.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -2.6 (-4.6) | 137.8 (-11.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#49) | 6.5 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#30) | 1.29 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#40) | 1.53 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#22) | 0.558 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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